GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Texas A&M a 57% chance.
SeriesIncarnate Word leads 3–1 since 2022 · East Texas A&M won the last meeting, 52–45 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UIW
Home-field edge ETAM
Model projection ETAM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M
Your sims:Sims: ETAM 0, UIW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
East Texas A&M
Lvs Prairie View A&M30–19Lat Houston Christian43–24Wvs UT Rio Grande Valley20–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Incarnate Word vs East Texas A&M Stats ComparisonUIW vs ETAM Stats Comparison
| Incarnate WordUIW | East Texas A&METAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5 | PPG | 18.4 |
| 28.2 | PA/G | 30 |
| 455.4 | YDS/G | 351.5 |
| 292.5 | PASS/G | 209.6 |
| 162.9 | RUSH/G | 141.9 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 36.4% | 3RD DOWN | 35.3% |
| 0.09 | OFF PPA | 0.02 |
| 0.01 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 47.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.0% |
| 35.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3% |
| 1.05 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25 |
| −8 | TO MARGIN | −8 |
| -35.1 | SRS | -36.3 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationCommerce, TX
Capacity11,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation561 ft
FAN NEWS
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