GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Incarnate Word a 57% chance.
SeriesIncarnate Word leads 3–1 · East Texas A&M won the last meeting, 52–45 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UIW
Home-field edge ETAM
Model projection UIW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M
Your sims:Sims: ETAM 0, UIW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Incarnate Word vs East Texas A&M Stats ComparisonUIW vs ETAM Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Incarnate WordUIW | East Texas A&METAM | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 11 |
| – | PA/G | 33.5 |
| – | YDS/G | 285 |
| – | PASS/G | 181.5 |
| – | RUSH/G | 103.5 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 26.9% |
| – | TO MARGIN | −6 |
| – | OFF PPA | -0.03 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 36.1% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 41.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationCommerce, TX
Capacity11,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation561 ft
FAN NEWS
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