GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota a 79% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota leads 8–2 · South Dakota won the last meeting, 19–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDAK
Home-field edge SDAK
Model projection SDAK
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Indiana State @ South Dakota
Your sims:Sims: SDAK 0, INST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Indiana State vs South Dakota Stats ComparisonINST vs South Dakota Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Indiana StateINST | South DakotaSDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | PPG | 48.5 |
| 33.5 | PA/G | 21.5 |
| 315 | YDS/G | 493 |
| 253 | PASS/G | 252.5 |
| 62 | RUSH/G | 240.5 |
| 5.8 | YDS/PLAY | 8.7 |
| 44.4% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.11 | OFF PPA | 0.54 |
| 0.29 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 30.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 53.4% |
| 42.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6% |
| 2.00 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.42 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
DakotaDomeLocationVermillion, SD
Capacity9,100
SurfaceTurf
Opened1979
Elevation1,225 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Indiana State or South Dakota?
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