Memphis @ Charlotte, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDMemphisMEM1–0·AAC
CharlotteCLT0–0·AAC
CLT radio49ers Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Charlotte a 11% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 2–0 · Memphis won the last meeting, 33–28 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge CLT
Model projection MEM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Memphis @ Charlotte
Your sims:Sims: CLT 0, MEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Memphis
Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)
Wat UNLV27–21Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Charlotte vs Memphis Stats ComparisonCharlotte vs Memphis Stats Comparison
2025 stats| CharlotteCLT | MemphisMEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.3#133 | PPG | 32.5#25 |
| 36.3#131 | PA/G | 23.2#52 |
| 285.8#132 | YDS/G | 411.5#36 |
| 204#94 | PASS/G | 228.4#65 |
| 81.8#135 | RUSH/G | 183.2#32 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 34.5%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 41.7%#45 |
| 0.23#115 | DEF PPA | 0.17#78 |
| 35.3%#129 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#39 |
| 52.2%#136 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.9%#59 |
| 40.9% | RET PROD | 5.6% |
| 1.23#73 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#33 |
| −8#117 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| -0.01#134 | OFF PPA | 0.24#24 |
| -24.1 | SP+ | 0.3 |
| -14.6#126 | FPI | -1.9#74 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jerry Richardson StadiumLocationCharlotte, NC
Capacity15,300
SurfaceTurf
Opened2013
Elevation625 ft
FAN NEWS
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