GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Long Island University a 59% chance.
SeriesMercyhurst leads 1–0 · Mercyhurst won the last meeting, 22–13 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
LIU win
59% One-score game
36%
59% One-score game
36%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) LIU
Home-field edge LIU
Model projection LIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University
Your sims:Sims: LIU 0, MERC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Mercyhurst vs Long Island University Stats ComparisonMercyhurst vs LIU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| MercyhurstMERC | Long Island UniversityLIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | PPG | 13.5 |
| 47 | PA/G | 46.5 |
| 239 | YDS/G | 200.5 |
| 189.5 | PASS/G | 147.5 |
| 49.5 | RUSH/G | 53 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 3.6 |
| 36.4% | 3RD DOWN | 25.9% |
| 0.42 | DEF PPA | 0.43 |
| 33.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 28.8% |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 53.9% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | -0.02 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Shark StadiumLocationBrookville, NY
Capacity6,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation171 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Mercyhurst or Long Island University?
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