Mercyhurst @ New Mexico, Week 2 · 2026
MERC@
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·MercyhurstMERC–
New MexicoUNM0–0·MWC
StreamingMW+
UNM radioLobo Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 97% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Mercyhurst @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, MERC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico
New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs Minnesota20–17 (OT)Wvs San Diego State23–17 (OT)Wat Air Force20–3New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)MercyhurstMercyhurst2025: 0–1
Lat Sacramento State49–28Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
- New Mexico92%
- Mercyhurst9%
CFB Vibes ModelUNM 97%MarketUNM 92%
Market 5 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $1,151 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico vs Mercyhurst Stats ComparisonNew Mexico vs Mercyhurst Stats Comparison
2025 stats| New MexicoUNM | MercyhurstMERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1#73 | PPG | – |
| 22.3#46 | PA/G | – |
| 357.2#90 | YDS/G | – |
| 204.8#92 | PASS/G | – |
| 152.4#76 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 39.4%#72 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.10#45 | DEF PPA | – |
| 40.8%#88 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 39.5%#46 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 58.2% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.25#55 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| 0.0 | SP+ | – |
| -3.5#81 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about New Mexico?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
