Merrimack at Tarleton State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction · 2025 ratings

Tarleton State VibesTAR Vibes

UAC · Week 2

WGA @ ARSTSat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM CDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 3 · Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CDT6:00 PM CDT

MerrimackMRMK–

Tarleton StateTAR–

StreamingESPN+

TAR radioTarleton Sports Network

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Tarleton State a 91% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

TAR 91% MRMK 9%

PROJECTED FINAL

Tarleton State

Merrimack

TAR win
91% One-score game
17%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) TAR

Home-field edge TAR

Model projection TAR

Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

Merrimack @ Tarleton State

Your sims:Sims: TAR 0, MRMK 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Tarleton State

2026: 1–0

Wat Bowling Green20–13

Merrimack

2026: 0–1

Lat Delaware42–7

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Tarleton State vs Merrimack Stats ComparisonTAR vs Merrimack Stats Comparison

2026 stats

Tarleton StateTAR		MerrimackMRMK
34.5	PPG	7
21.5	PA/G	38
484.5	YDS/G	287
240	PASS/G	227
244.5	RUSH/G	60
7.9	YDS/PLAY	3.5
40.0%	3RD DOWN	26.3%
0.18	DEF PPA	0.26
49.6%	OFF SUCCESS	33.6%
41.7%	DEF SUCCESS	45.3%
1.14	EXPLOSIVE	1.06
+1	TO MARGIN	−6
0.27	OFF PPA	-0.17

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Memorial Stadium

LocationStephenville, TX

Capacity24,000

SurfaceTurf

Elevation1,319 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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