Montana State at Nevada: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

BSKY · Week 2

WEB @ COLOSat, Sep 12 · 1:30 PM MDT UCD @ SMUSat, Sep 12 · 3:00 PM CDT UNCO @ WYOSat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDT SUU @ CSUSat, Sep 12 · 5:00 PM MDTCBSSN CP @ SJSUSat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM PDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM PDT7:30 PM PDT

Montana StateMTST–

NevadaNEV1–0·MWC

TVThe CW

StreamingESPN Unlmtd

MTST radioBobcat Radio Sports Network

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Terms & eligibility

Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Montana State opens a 4.5-point favorite. Our model gives Montana State a 61% chance.

SeriesNevada leads 3–0 · Nevada won the last meeting, 31–7 · 1996

WIN PROBABILITY

MTST 61% NEV 39%

PROJECTED FINAL

Montana State

Nevada

MTST win
61% One-score game
40%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge NEV

Market lean MTST

Model projection MTST

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Montana State @ Nevada

Your sims:Sims: MTST 0, NEV 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Nevada

2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)

Wvs Western Kentucky49–14

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADMTST −4.5NEV +4.5

TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5

MONEYLINEMTST −192NEV +160

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Montana State vs Nevada Stats ComparisonMTST vs Nevada Stats Comparison

Montana StateMTST		NevadaNEV
52.5	PPG	49
12	PA/G	14
472.5	YDS/G	486
319.5	PASS/G	163
153	RUSH/G	323
7.4	YDS/PLAY	8.4
65.0%	3RD DOWN	50.0%
+1	TO MARGIN	+1
0.43	OFF PPA	0.56
58.0%	OFF SUCCESS	50.8%
33.9%	DEF SUCCESS	44.0%
1.14	EXPLOSIVE	1.65
-0.11	DEF PPA	0.07
–	RET PROD	35.5%
–	ELO	1462
–	SP+	-6.1
–	FPI	-3.1#79

THE VENUE

Mackay Stadium

LocationReno, NV

Capacity27,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1966

Elevation4,615 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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