GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Montana State a 72% chance.
SeriesMontana State leads 13–2 since 2003 · Montana State won the last meeting, 55–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge UNCO
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Montana St @ Northern Colorado
Your sims:Sims: UNCO 0, MTST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Northern Colorado
Lat UC Davis33–6Wvs Cal Poly28–18Lat Eastern Washington31–22
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Montana State vs Northern Colorado Stats ComparisonMTST vs UNCO Stats Comparison
| Montana StateMTST | Northern ColoradoUNCO | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | PPG | 21.7 |
| 20.4 | PA/G | 26.3 |
| 446.4 | YDS/G | 385.6 |
| 239.1 | PASS/G | 212 |
| 207.2 | RUSH/G | 173.6 |
| 7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7 |
| 48.8% | 3RD DOWN | 43.0% |
| +7 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.31 | OFF PPA | 0.08 |
| 52.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8% |
| 42.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.6% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35 |
| -0.01 | DEF PPA | 0.19 |
| -14.0 | SRS | -27.7 |
THE VENUE
Nottingham FieldLocationGreeley, CO
Capacity8,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1995
Elevation4,775 ft
FAN NEWS
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