Montana @ Montana State, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
MONT radioMontana Grizzly Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Montana a 34% chance.
SeriesMontana leads 11–10 · Montana State won the last meeting, 48–23 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge MTST
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Montana @ Montana State
Your sims:Sims: MONT 0, MTST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Montana vs Montana State Stats ComparisonMontana vs MTST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| MontanaMONT | Montana StateMTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5 | PPG | 52.5 |
| 15.5 | PA/G | 12 |
| 412.5 | YDS/G | 472.5 |
| 273 | PASS/G | 319.5 |
| 139.5 | RUSH/G | 153 |
| 6.4 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 41.7% | 3RD DOWN | 65.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.27 | OFF PPA | 0.43 |
| 51.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 58.0% |
| 41.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.9% |
| 1.03 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| 0.05 | DEF PPA | -0.11 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bobcat StadiumLocationBozeman, MT
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation4,946 ft
FAN NEWS
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