GAME DAY
Week 12 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Butler a 68% chance.
SeriesMorehead State leads 12–10 · Morehead State won the last meeting, 31–30 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) BTLR
Home-field edge BTLR
Model projection BTLR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morehead State @ Butler
Your sims:Sims: BTLR 0, MORE 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Morehead State vs Butler Stats ComparisonMORE vs Butler Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Morehead StateMORE | ButlerBTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5 | PPG | 25.5 |
| 33 | PA/G | 37 |
| 302 | YDS/G | 136.5 |
| 203 | PASS/G | 95 |
| 99 | RUSH/G | 41.5 |
| 9.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5 |
| 69.2% | 3RD DOWN | 46.7% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.57 | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.55 |
| 52.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.7% |
| 37.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 60.3% |
| 1.77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Butler BowlLocationIndianapolis, IN
Capacity5,647
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation726 ft
FAN NEWS
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