GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives St. Thomas (MN) a 63% chance.
SeriesSt. Thomas (MN) leads 3–2 since 2021 · Butler won the last meeting, 21–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) STMN
Home-field edge BTLR
Model projection STMN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
St. Thomas (MN) @ Butler
Your sims:Sims: BTLR 0, STMN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
St. Thomas (MN) vs Butler Stats ComparisonSTMN vs Butler Stats Comparison
| St. Thomas (MN)STMN | ButlerBTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9 | PPG | 33.2 |
| 27.1 | PA/G | 21.5 |
| 441 | YDS/G | 321.5 |
| 240 | PASS/G | 139.1 |
| 201 | RUSH/G | 182.4 |
| 6.8 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1 |
| 46.5% | 3RD DOWN | 45.7% |
| +4 | TO MARGIN | +11 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.20 |
| 46.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.8% |
| 41.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.6% |
| 1.33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27 |
| 0.02 | DEF PPA | -0.04 |
| -28.9 | SRS | -38.6 |
THE VENUE
Butler BowlLocationIndianapolis, IN
Capacity5,647
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation726 ft
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