GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·MORG radioMorgan State Sports Network / WEAA
NCCU radioEagle Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Morgan State a 57% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina Central leads 8–4 since 2008 · North Carolina Central won the last meeting, 33–14 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NCCU win
43% One-score game
38%
43% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MORG
Home-field edge NCCU
Model projection MORG
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morgan St @ North Carolina Central
Your sims:Sims: NCCU 0, MORG 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Morgan State vs North Carolina Central Stats ComparisonMorgan State vs NCCU Stats Comparison
| Morgan StateMORG | North Carolina CentralNCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8 | PPG | 24 |
| 27 | PA/G | 27.9 |
| 355 | YDS/G | 333.4 |
| 233.5 | PASS/G | 158.9 |
| 121.5 | RUSH/G | 174.5 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 34.1% | 3RD DOWN | 38.2% |
| 0.23 | OFF PPA | 0.01 |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.13 |
| 42.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.5% |
| 41.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 40.0% |
| 1.40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +7 |
| -36.8 | SRS | -43.4 |
THE VENUE
O'Kelly-Riddick StadiumLocationDurham, NC
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1975
Elevation317 ft
FAN NEWS
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