Morgan State @ North Carolina Central, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·MORG radioMorgan State Sports Network / WEAA
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Morgan State a 29% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina Central leads 8–4 · North Carolina Central won the last meeting, 33–14 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
MORG win
29% One-score game
32%
29% One-score game
32%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NCCU
Home-field edge NCCU
Model projection NCCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morgan St @ North Carolina Central
Your sims:Sims: MORG 0, NCCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Morgan State vs North Carolina Central Stats ComparisonMorgan State vs NCCU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Morgan StateMORG | North Carolina CentralNCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | PPG | 28.5 |
| 38.5 | PA/G | 24 |
| 232 | YDS/G | 323.5 |
| 126.5 | PASS/G | 145.5 |
| 105.5 | RUSH/G | 178 |
| 5.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8 |
| 21.1% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.09 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 0.40 | DEF PPA | 0.20 |
| 35.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.9% |
| 46.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 1.17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
O'Kelly-Riddick StadiumLocationDurham, NC
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1975
Elevation317 ft
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