Morgan State @ Villanova, Week 5 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·StreamingESPN+
VILL radioVillanova Sports Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Villanova a 87% chance.
SeriesVillanova leads 1–0 · Villanova won the last meeting, 48–28 · 2014
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) VILL
Home-field edge VILL
Model projection VILL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morgan State @ Villanova
Your sims:Sims: VILL 0, MORG 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Villanova vs Morgan State Stats ComparisonVillanova vs Morgan State Stats Comparison
2026 stats| VillanovaVILL | Morgan StateMORG | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5 | PPG | 12 |
| 25.5 | PA/G | 38.5 |
| 366 | YDS/G | 232 |
| 244 | PASS/G | 126.5 |
| 122 | RUSH/G | 105.5 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2 |
| 45.8% | 3RD DOWN | 21.1% |
| 0.11 | OFF PPA | 0.09 |
| 0.07 | DEF PPA | 0.40 |
| 44.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.8% |
| 36.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 46.4% |
| 1.21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Villanova StadiumLocationVillanova, PA
Capacity12,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation418 ft
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