GAME DAY
Week 15 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Navy opens a 2.5-point favorite in East Rutherford. Our model gives Navy a 57% chance.
SeriesNavy leads 63–55–7 · Navy won the last meeting, 17–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ARMY
Neutral site EVEN
Market lean NAVY
Model projection NAVY
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Navy vs Army
Your sims:Sims: ARMY 0, NAVY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADNAVY −2.5ARMY +2.5
TOTALOver 37.5Under 37.5
MONEYLINENAVY −142ARMY +120
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Navy vs Army Stats ComparisonNavy vs Army Stats Comparison
| NavyNAVY | ArmyARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.2#76 | PPG | 34.8#39 |
| 25.8#91 | PA/G | 20#40 |
| 414#54 | YDS/G | 426.7#42 |
| 115.5#134 | PASS/G | 69.2#137 |
| 298.5#4 | RUSH/G | 357.5#1 |
| 6.4#37 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 43.5%#47 | 3RD DOWN | 52.1%#11 |
| 0.23#31 | OFF PPA | 0.35#4 |
| 0.12#95 | DEF PPA | 0.17#113 |
| 47.9%#31 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.3%#3 |
| 37.4%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.1%#101 |
| 13.8% | RET PROD | 80.2% |
| 1.19#91 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.09#129 |
| 1493 | ELO | 1583 |
| −6#128 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| -0.2 | SP+ | -0.9 |
| -5.5#91 | FPI | -0.0#69 |
| -6.7 | SRS | 5.0 |
THE VENUE
MetLife StadiumLocationEast Rutherford, NJ
Capacity82,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2010
Elevation6 ft
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