NC State @ Vanderbilt, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·NC StateNCSU0–1·ACC
VanderbiltVAN0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Vanderbilt a 69% chance.
SeriesVanderbilt leads 2–1 · NC State won the last meeting, 41–17 · 2016
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) VAN
Home-field edge VAN
Model projection VAN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
NC State @ Vanderbilt
Your sims:Sims: VAN 0, NCSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3NC State
NC State2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)
Lat Virginia34–8NC State2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Vanderbilt vs NC State Stats ComparisonVanderbilt vs NC State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| VanderbiltVAN | NC StateNCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5#8 | PPG | 30.2#44 |
| 22.8#47 | PA/G | 27.2#82 |
| 463.2#9 | YDS/G | 392.8#65 |
| 287.3#10 | PASS/G | 245.7#49 |
| 175.9#49 | RUSH/G | 147.1#81 |
| 7.5#1 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 51.1%#6 | 3RD DOWN | 41.2%#51 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.41#1 | OFF PPA | 0.24#27 |
| 0.19#96 | DEF PPA | 0.19#92 |
| 50.3%#5 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.4%#67 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.8%#49 |
| 35.4% | RET PROD | 59.9% |
| 1.42#5 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.38#9 |
| 9.8 | SP+ | 5.7 |
| 9.0#29 | FPI | 3.7#51 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FirstBank StadiumLocationNashville, TN
Capacity40,351
SurfaceTurf
Opened1922
Elevation525 ft
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