Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt, Week 1 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Vanderbilt opens a 29.5-point favorite. Our model gives Vanderbilt a 99% chance.
SeriesVanderbilt leads 2–0 · Vanderbilt won the last meeting, 47–7 · 2015
99% One-score game
4% Cover VAN −29.5
68%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: VAN 0, APSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Vanderbilt98%- Austin Peay3%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $14,019 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Vanderbilt vs Austin Peay Stats ComparisonVanderbilt vs Austin Peay Stats Comparison
2025 stats| VanderbiltVAN | Austin PeayAPSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5#8 | PPG | – |
| 22.8#47 | PA/G | – |
| 463.2#9 | YDS/G | – |
| 287.3#10 | PASS/G | – |
| 175.9#49 | RUSH/G | – |
| 7.5#1 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 51.1%#6 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.41#1 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.19#96 | DEF PPA | – |
| 50.3%#5 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 35.4% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.42#5 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| 9.8 | SP+ | – |
| 9.0#29 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
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