New Mexico State @ Hawai'i, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingMW+
HAW radioHawaii Sports Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Hawai'i a 89% chance.
SeriesHawai'i leads 11–1 · Hawai'i won the last meeting, 20–17 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) HAW
Home-field edge HAW
Model projection HAW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Mexico State @ Hawai'i
Your sims:Sims: HAW 0, NMSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Hawai'i
Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat Stanford37–27Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)New Mexico State
New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat Florida State34–17New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Hawai'i vs New Mexico State Stats ComparisonHawai'i vs NMSU Stats Comparison
| Hawai'iHAW | New Mexico StateNMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | PPG | 17 |
| 37 | PA/G | 34 |
| 322 | YDS/G | 319 |
| 276 | PASS/G | 272 |
| 46 | RUSH/G | 47 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8 |
| 41.2% | 3RD DOWN | 58.8% |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.16 |
| 0.33 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
| 35.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 34.3% |
| 45.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8% |
| 64.5% | RET PROD | 24.4% |
| 1.26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.64 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -2.6 | SP+ | -18.5 |
| -2.4#76 | FPI | -15.7#129 |
THE VENUE
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexLocationHonolulu, HI
Capacity15,194
SurfaceTurf
Opened2015
Elevation66 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Hawai'i?
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