GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Incarnate Word an 84% chance.
SeriesNicholls leads 7–6 since 2014 · Nicholls won the last meeting, 20–6 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UIW
Home-field edge UIW
Model projection UIW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word
Your sims:Sims: UIW 0, NICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Nicholls
Wat Northwestern State31–27Lvs Stephen F. Austin56–0Lat Houston Christian16–2
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nicholls vs Incarnate Word Stats ComparisonNicholls vs UIW Stats Comparison
| NichollsNICH | Incarnate WordUIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.1 | PPG | 35.5 |
| 39.5 | PA/G | 28.2 |
| 296.6 | YDS/G | 455.4 |
| 161.5 | PASS/G | 292.5 |
| 135.1 | RUSH/G | 162.9 |
| 4.3 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 30.2% | 3RD DOWN | 36.4% |
| 0.24 | DEF PPA | 0.01 |
| 32.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.2% |
| 46.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.6% |
| 1.30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.05 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −8 |
| -0.09 | OFF PPA | 0.09 |
| -47.2 | SRS | -35.1 |
THE VENUE
Gayle and Tom Benson StadiumLocationSan Antonio, TX
Capacity6,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2008
Elevation684 ft
FAN NEWS
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