Northern Illinois @ Arizona, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARIZ
Home-field edge ARIZ
Model projection ARIZ
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ Arizona
Your sims:Sims: ARIZ 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)
Lvs Kent State35–31Lvs Western Michigan35–19Wat Massachusetts45–3Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arizona vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonArizona vs NIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ArizonaARIZ | Northern IllinoisNIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5#30 | PPG | 17.1#129 |
| 19.3#21 | PA/G | 24.3#64 |
| 407.9#42 | YDS/G | 284.4#133 |
| 255.2#36 | PASS/G | 98.8#134 |
| 152.7#75 | RUSH/G | 185.6#29 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 41.0%#53 | 3RD DOWN | 31.8%#129 |
| +18#2 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.17#67 | OFF PPA | 0.05#125 |
| 0.07#25 | DEF PPA | 0.19#89 |
| 42.6%#66 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.7%#131 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.4%#109 |
| 64.9% | RET PROD | 43.7% |
| 1.26#51 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| 9.5 | SP+ | -17.2 |
| 7.2#34 | FPI | -14.5#125 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Arizona StadiumLocationTucson, AZ
Capacity50,782
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation2,435 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
