GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota an 86% chance.
SeriesNorthern Iowa leads 10–5 since 2008 · South Dakota won the last meeting, 17–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDAK
Home-field edge SDAK
Model projection SDAK
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Iowa @ South Dakota
Your sims:Sims: SDAK 0, UNI 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Iowa
Lat Southern Illinois20–17Lat Youngstown State35–22Wvs North Dakota24–17
South Dakota
Wvs North Dakota26–23 (OT)Wat Murray State48–20Wvs Southern Illinois31–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Iowa vs South Dakota Stats ComparisonUNI vs South Dakota Stats Comparison
| Northern IowaUNI | South DakotaSDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4 | PPG | 37.7 |
| 28 | PA/G | 24.2 |
| 319.1 | YDS/G | 409.8 |
| 212.4 | PASS/G | 217.1 |
| 106.7 | RUSH/G | 192.7 |
| 5 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7 |
| 37.4% | 3RD DOWN | 45.7% |
| +6 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.29 |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 39.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.9% |
| 48.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.4% |
| 1.24 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29 |
| -25.1 | SRS | -11.5 |
THE VENUE
DakotaDomeLocationVermillion, SD
Capacity9,100
SurfaceTurf
Opened1979
Elevation1,225 ft
FAN NEWS
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