Northwestern @ Michigan State, Week 7 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 7 · TBDNU radioNorthwestern Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northwestern a 46% chance.
SeriesMichigan State leads 41–19 · Michigan State won the last meeting, 38–21 · 2021
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NU
Home-field edge MSU
Model projection MSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northwestern @ Michigan State
Your sims:Sims: NU 0, MSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northwestern
Northwestern2025: 7–6 (4–5 B1G)
Wvs Central Michigan34–7Lat Illinois20–13Wvs Minnesota38–35Northwestern2025: 7–6 (4–5 B1G)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northwestern vs Michigan State Stats ComparisonNorthwestern vs MSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NorthwesternNU | Michigan StateMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4#98 | PPG | 24.6#89 |
| 19.8#23 | PA/G | 29.9#104 |
| 346.8#98 | YDS/G | 345.3#99 |
| 185.9#108 | PASS/G | 222.7#70 |
| 160.9#64 | RUSH/G | 122.7#110 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 42.9%#37 | 3RD DOWN | 34.6%#110 |
| 0.15#84 | OFF PPA | 0.13#90 |
| 0.17#80 | DEF PPA | 0.20#101 |
| 43.0%#60 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.1%#72 |
| 45.1%#123 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.6%#110 |
| 88.5% | RET PROD | 20.9% |
| 1.17#110 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| 5.1 | SP+ | 2.2 |
| 1.4#60 | FPI | 0.3#65 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Spartan StadiumLocationEast Lansing, MI
Capacity75,005
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation836 ft
FAN NEWS
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