Ohio State @ Iowa, Week 5 · 2026
#1
@#22
@#22GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDOhio StateOSU0–0·B1G
IOWA radioHawkeye Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa a 19% chance.
SeriesOhio State leads 49–15–3 · Ohio State won the last meeting, 35–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) OSU
Home-field edge IOWA
Model projection OSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ohio State @ Iowa
Your sims:Sims: IOWA 0, OSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Iowa vs Ohio State Stats ComparisonIowa vs Ohio State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| IowaIOWA | Ohio StateOSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.3#54 | PPG | 33.4#21 |
| 16.1#8 | PA/G | 9.3#1 |
| 320.1#119 | YDS/G | 423#26 |
| 143.2#129 | PASS/G | 268.2#23 |
| 176.9#43 | RUSH/G | 154.8#74 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 43.5%#34 | 3RD DOWN | 52.6%#3 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.15#80 | OFF PPA | 0.33#7 |
| 44.1%#45 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.2%#1 |
| 38.6%#35 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8%#12 |
| 34.2% | RET PROD | 68.3% |
| 1.10#134 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#124 |
| 14.6 | SP+ | 32.7 |
| 10.6#25 | FPI | 28.7#1 |
| 0.06#18 | DEF PPA | -0.01#5 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kinnick StadiumLocationIowa City, IA
Capacity69,250
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation724 ft
FAN NEWS
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