Indiana State @ Purdue, Week 1 · 2026
INST@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Purdue opens a 35.5-point favorite. Our model gives Purdue a 99% chance.
SeriesPurdue leads 7–0 · Purdue won the last meeting, 49–0 · 2024
What's driving the model
Home-field edge PUR
Market lean PUR
Model projection PUR
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Indiana State @ Purdue
Your sims:Sims: PUR 0, INST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADINST +35.5PUR −35.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Indiana State vs Purdue Stats ComparisonINST vs Purdue Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Indiana StateINST | PurduePUR | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 18.8#122 |
| – | PA/G | 31.8#117 |
| – | YDS/G | 343.6#102 |
| – | PASS/G | 217.2#80 |
| – | RUSH/G | 126.4#105 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 38.4%#85 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.10#107 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.27#132 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0%#73 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 47.8%#129 |
| – | RET PROD | 47.5% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#77 |
| – | SP+ | -2.2 |
| – | FPI | -0.9#71 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ross-Ade StadiumLocationWest Lafayette, IN
Capacity57,282
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation648 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
