Ohio State @ Texas, Week 2 · 2026
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@#5
@#5GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Ohio StateOSU0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ohio State opens a 1.5-point underdog. Our model gives Ohio State a 46% chance.
SeriesOhio State leads 3–2 · Ohio State won the last meeting, 14–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge TEX
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Ohio State @ Texas
Your sims:Sims: OSU 0, TEX 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOSU +1.5TEX −1.5
TOTALOver 47.5Under 47.5
MONEYLINEOSU −102TEX −118
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Ohio State vs Texas Stats ComparisonOhio State vs Texas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ohio StateOSU | TexasTEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4#21 | PPG | 30.5#41 |
| 9.3#1 | PA/G | 20.3#28 |
| 423#26 | YDS/G | 388.7#69 |
| 268.2#23 | PASS/G | 250.7#44 |
| 154.8#74 | RUSH/G | 138#90 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 52.6%#3 | 3RD DOWN | 39.2%#75 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| 0.33#7 | OFF PPA | 0.18#57 |
| 53.2%#1 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5%#93 |
| 35.8%#12 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.2%#43 |
| 68.3% | RET PROD | 72.1% |
| 1.15#124 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#13 |
| 32.7 | SP+ | 22.8 |
| 28.7#1 | FPI | 26.9#2 |
| -0.01#5 | DEF PPA | 0.10#40 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumLocationAustin, TX
Capacity100,119
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation526 ft
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