Ball State @ Ohio State, Week 1 · 2026
@#1
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ohio State opens a 50.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ohio State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OSU
Home-field edge OSU
Market lean OSU
Model projection OSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Ball State @ Ohio State
Your sims:Sims: OSU 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOSU −50.5BALL +50.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Ohio State vs Ball State Stats ComparisonOhio State vs Ball State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ohio StateOSU | Ball StateBALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4#21 | PPG | 15.8#132 |
| 9.3#1 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 423#26 | YDS/G | 271.7#134 |
| 268.2#23 | PASS/G | 138#131 |
| 154.8#74 | RUSH/G | 133.7#96 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| 52.6%#3 | 3RD DOWN | 33.5%#119 |
| 53.2%#1 | OFF SUCCESS | 32.5%#136 |
| 35.8%#12 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 68.3% | RET PROD | 5.7% |
| 1.15#124 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#29 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| 0.33#7 | OFF PPA | -0.00#133 |
| -0.01#5 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 32.7 | SP+ | -25.1 |
| 28.7#1 | FPI | -17.3#134 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ohio StadiumLocationColumbus, OH
Capacity102,780
SurfaceTurf
Opened1922
Elevation711 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
