Old Dominion @ Georgia State, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDODU radioMonarch Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Old Dominion a 86% chance.
SeriesOld Dominion leads 6–1 · Old Dominion won the last meeting, 27–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ODU
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection ODU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Old Dominion @ Georgia State
Your sims:Sims: ODU 0, GAST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Old Dominion
Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)
Wvs South Florida24–10Wvs Georgia State27–10Wat Georgia Southern45–10Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Old Dominion vs Georgia State Stats ComparisonOld Dominion vs GAST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Old DominionODU | Georgia StateGAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 32#29 | PPG | 19.8#119 |
| 18.5#14 | PA/G | 37.8#133 |
| 454.9#15 | YDS/G | 378.2#77 |
| 216#85 | PASS/G | 254.4#38 |
| 238.9#7 | RUSH/G | 123.8#107 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 41.4%#49 | 3RD DOWN | 38.6%#83 |
| 0.24#28 | OFF PPA | 0.13#91 |
| 0.02#8 | DEF PPA | 0.28#133 |
| 45.4%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 37.8%#25 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 9.2% | RET PROD | 46.5% |
| 1.27#47 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#61 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −11#127 |
| -6.9 | SP+ | -29.3 |
| -4.4#85 | FPI | -15.2#127 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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