Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Pittsburgh a 35% chance.
SeriesVirginia Tech leads 12–11 · Virginia Tech won the last meeting, 38–21 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) VT
Home-field edge VT
Model projection VT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech
Your sims:Sims: PITT 0, VT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech Stats ComparisonPittsburgh vs VT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| PittsburghPITT | Virginia TechVT | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7#20 | PPG | 21.4#113 |
| 24.8#68 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 391.2#67 | YDS/G | 349.5#97 |
| 273.5#20 | PASS/G | 166.3#119 |
| 117.7#116 | RUSH/G | 183.2#32 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 33.3%#120 | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#72 |
| 0.17#61 | OFF PPA | 0.17#64 |
| 0.07#27 | DEF PPA | 0.27#131 |
| 40.3%#98 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| 35.6%#11 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 39.7% | RET PROD | 36.7% |
| 1.34#19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#63 |
| 6.2 | SP+ | 8.6 |
| 6.6#36 | FPI | 7.4#33 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | −9#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Lane StadiumLocationBlacksburg, VA
Capacity65,632
SurfaceGrass
Opened1965
Elevation2,074 ft
FAN NEWS
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