Rice @ Notre Dame, Week 2 · 2026
@#4
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Notre DameND0–0
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Rice a 1% chance.
SeriesNotre Dame leads 5–0 · Notre Dame won the last meeting, 48–17 · 2014
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ND
Model projection ND
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.
Rice @ Notre Dame
Your sims:Sims: RICE 0, ND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Notre Dame98%
Rice3%
CFB Vibes ModelND 99%MarketND 98%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $26,891 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Rice vs Notre Dame Stats ComparisonRice vs Notre Dame Stats Comparison
2025 stats| RiceRICE | Notre DameND | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.1#121 | PPG | 42#2 |
| 32.9#124 | PA/G | 17.6#10 |
| 302.4#126 | YDS/G | 459.5#12 |
| 97.6#135 | PASS/G | 255.1#37 |
| 204.8#15 | RUSH/G | 204.4#17 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 7.5#1 |
| 34.0%#116 | 3RD DOWN | 48.1%#13 |
| 0.04#126 | OFF PPA | 0.33#6 |
| 0.24#120 | DEF PPA | 0.02#9 |
| 35.6%#128 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.3%#24 |
| 41.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.3%#14 |
| 39.4% | RET PROD | 51.2% |
| 1.21#90 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.50#1 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +13#7 |
| -15.3 | SP+ | 26.5 |
| -13.4#122 | FPI | 25.9#3 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Notre Dame StadiumLocationNotre Dame, IN
Capacity80,795
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
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