The Citadel at Charlotte: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

AAC · Week 1

UAB @ ILLThu, Sep 3 · 8:00 PM CDTBTN BRY @ ARMYSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTCBSSN ECU @ ALASat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTABC UNT @ IUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX URI @ TEMSat, Sep 5 · 2:00 PM EDT RGV @ UTSASat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDT CIT @ CLTSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT TULN @ DUKESat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTACC Network TOW @ NAVYSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTCBSSN OKST @ TLSASat, Sep 5 · 2:45 PM CDTESPNU FIU @ USFSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT FAU @ FLASat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network

All scores

CIT@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT3:30 PM EDT

The CitadelCIT–

CharlotteCLT0–0·AAC

StreamingESPN+

CLT radio49ers Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Charlotte opens a 20.5-point favorite. Our model gives Charlotte a 94% chance.

SeriesThe Citadel leads 1–0 · The Citadel won the last meeting, 63–56 · 2014

WIN PROBABILITY

CLT 94% CIT 6%

PROJECTED FINAL

Charlotte

The Citadel

CLT win
94% One-score game
13% Cover CLT −20.5
60%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge CLT

Market lean CLT

Model projection CLT

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

The Citadel @ Charlotte

Your sims:Sims: CLT 0, CIT 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

The Citadel2025: 0–2

Lat Ole Miss49–0 Lvs North Dakota State38–0

Charlotte

2025: 1–11 (0–8 AAC)

Lat Tulane27–0 Lat Georgia35–3 Lvs UTSA28–7

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Charlotte93%
The Citadel8%

CFB Vibes ModelCLT 94%MarketCLT 93%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $13,032 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADCIT +20.5CLT −20.5

TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5

MONEYLINECIT +1000CLT −1800

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

The Citadel vs Charlotte Stats ComparisonThe Citadel vs Charlotte Stats Comparison

2025 stats

The CitadelCIT		CharlotteCLT
–	PPG	14.3#133
–	PA/G	36.3#131
–	YDS/G	285.8#132
–	PASS/G	204#94
–	RUSH/G	81.8#135
–	YDS/PLAY	4.6#129
–	3RD DOWN	34.5%#111
–	TO MARGIN	−8#117
–	OFF PPA	-0.01#134
–	DEF PPA	0.23#115
–	OFF SUCCESS	35.3%#129
–	DEF SUCCESS	52.2%#136
–	RET PROD	40.9%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.23#73
–	SP+	-24.1
–	FPI	-14.6#126

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Jerry Richardson Stadium

LocationCharlotte, NC

Capacity15,300

SurfaceTurf

Opened2013

Elevation625 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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