Houston Christian at Rice: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

AAC · Week 1

UAB @ ILLThu, Sep 3 · 8:00 PM CDTBTN BRY @ ARMYSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTCBSSN ECU @ ALASat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTABC UNT @ IUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX URI @ TEMSat, Sep 5 · 2:00 PM EDT RGV @ UTSASat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDT CIT @ CLTSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT TULN @ DUKESat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTACC Network TOW @ NAVYSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTCBSSN OKST @ TLSASat, Sep 5 · 2:45 PM CDTESPNU FIU @ USFSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT FAU @ FLASat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network

All scores

HCU@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT6:00 PM CDT

Houston ChristianHCU–

RiceRICE0–0·AAC

StreamingESPN+

RICE radioOwl Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Rice opens a 22.5-point favorite. Our model gives Rice a 96% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

RICE 96% HCU 4%

PROJECTED FINAL

Rice

Houston Christian

RICE win
96% One-score game
11% Cover RICE −22.5
62%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge RICE

Market lean RICE

Model projection RICE

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Houston Christian @ Rice

Your sims:Sims: RICE 0, HCU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Rice

2025: 5–8 (2–6 AAC)

Lvs Texas State41–10 Lat South Florida52–3 Lvs North Texas56–24

Houston Christian2025: 0–1

Lat Nebraska59–7

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Rice95%
Houston Christian6%

CFB Vibes ModelRICE 96%MarketRICE 95%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $6,985 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADRICE −22.5HCU +22.5

TOTALOver 47.5Under 47.5

MONEYLINERICE −2100HCU +1100

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Rice vs Houston Christian Stats ComparisonRice vs HCU Stats Comparison

2025 stats

RiceRICE		Houston ChristianHCU
19.1#121	PPG	–
32.9#124	PA/G	–
302.4#126	YDS/G	–
97.6#135	PASS/G	–
204.8#15	RUSH/G	–
4.5#133	YDS/PLAY	–
34.0%#116	3RD DOWN	–
−4#98	TO MARGIN	–
0.04#126	OFF PPA	–
0.24#120	DEF PPA	–
35.6%#128	OFF SUCCESS	–
41.4%#66	DEF SUCCESS	–
39.4%	RET PROD	–
1.21#90	EXPLOSIVE	–
-15.3	SP+	–
-13.4#122	FPI	–

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Rice Stadium

LocationHouston, TX

Capacity47,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1950

Elevation23 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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