GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 56% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 11–4 since 2008 · South Dakota State won the last meeting, 41–10 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SIU win
44% One-score game
39%
44% One-score game
39%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDST
Home-field edge SIU
Model projection SDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota St @ Southern Illinois
Your sims:Sims: SIU 0, SDST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Dakota State
South Dakota State2026: 6–2
Wvs Murray State42–9Lat North Dakota21–10Wat Illinois State31–14
Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois2026: 4–5
Wvs Northern Iowa20–17Lvs Illinois State35–14Lat South Dakota31–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota State vs Southern Illinois Stats ComparisonSDST vs SIU Stats Comparison
| South Dakota StateSDST | Southern IllinoisSIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.1 | PPG | 22.6 |
| 15.8 | PA/G | 26.3 |
| 472.8 | YDS/G | 346.6 |
| 209.4 | PASS/G | 203.2 |
| 263.4 | RUSH/G | 143.3 |
| 7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 40.6% | 3RD DOWN | 37.2% |
| +6 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 47.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.3% |
| 36.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 39.8% |
| 1.29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| 0.26 | OFF PPA | -0.00 |
| -0.07 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| -12.5 | SRS | -19.3 |
THE VENUE
Saluki StadiumLocationCarbondale, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2010
Elevation416 ft
FAN NEWS
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