South Dakota @ Boise State, Week 3 · 2026
SDAK@
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·South DakotaSDAK–
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Boise State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BOIS
Home-field edge BOIS
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota @ Boise State
Your sims:Sims: BOIS 0, SDAK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Boise State vs South Dakota Stats ComparisonBoise State vs South Dakota Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Boise StateBOIS | South DakotaSDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9#46 | PPG | – |
| 24.1#61 | PA/G | – |
| 424.3#24 | YDS/G | – |
| 244.9#51 | PASS/G | – |
| 179.4#38 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 45.8%#26 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.17#60 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.10#42 | DEF PPA | – |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 35.3%#8 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.30#36 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| 5.1 | SP+ | – |
| 4.0#50 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Albertsons StadiumLocationBoise, ID
Capacity36,387
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation2,701 ft
FAN NEWS
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