South Dakota @ Illinois State, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
SDAK radioCoyote Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota a 36% chance.
SeriesIllinois State leads 9–2 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 21–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge ILST
Model projection ILST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota @ Illinois State
Your sims:Sims: SDAK 0, ILST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota vs Illinois State Stats ComparisonSouth Dakota vs ILST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| South DakotaSDAK | Illinois StateILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 48.5 | PPG | 58.5 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 5 |
| 493 | YDS/G | 248 |
| 252.5 | PASS/G | 128.5 |
| 240.5 | RUSH/G | 119.5 |
| 8.7 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 68.8% |
| 0.54 | OFF PPA | 0.34 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.04 |
| 53.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.0% |
| 39.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4% |
| 1.42 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock StadiumLocationNormal, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation797 ft
FAN NEWS
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