South Florida @ Army, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Army a 58% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Army won the last meeting, 42–35 · 2004
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USF
Home-field edge ARMY
Model projection ARMY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Florida @ Army
Your sims:Sims: ARMY 0, USF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Army67%
CFB Vibes ModelARMY 58%MarketARMY 67%
Market 9 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $7 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Army vs South Florida Stats ComparisonArmy vs USF Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ArmyARMY | South FloridaUSF | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8#94 | PPG | 40.5#5 |
| 21.6#39 | PA/G | 23.4#53 |
| 335.8#110 | YDS/G | 487.8#3 |
| 80.8#136 | PASS/G | 275.6#18 |
| 255#4 | RUSH/G | 212.2#13 |
| 5#117 | YDS/PLAY | 7#5 |
| 41.2%#51 | 3RD DOWN | 46.4%#20 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.18#54 | OFF PPA | 0.30#17 |
| 0.17#84 | DEF PPA | 0.08#30 |
| 42.2%#70 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.7%#22 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.9%#27 |
| 80.2% | RET PROD | 12.6% |
| 1.14#125 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#38 |
| -2.4 | SP+ | -1.7 |
| -5.6#89 | FPI | -0.9#73 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Michie StadiumLocationWest Point, NY
Capacity38,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation326 ft
FAN NEWS
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