Towson at Navy: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

AAC · Week 1

UAB @ ILLThu, Sep 3 · 8:00 PM CDTBTN ECU @ ALASat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTABC UNT @ IUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX URI @ TEMSat, Sep 5 · 2:00 PM EDT RGV @ UTSASat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDT CIT @ CLTSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT TULN @ DUKESat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTACC Network TOW @ NAVYSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTCBSSN OKST @ TLSASat, Sep 5 · 2:45 PM CDTESPNU FIU @ USFSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT HCU @ RICESat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT FAU @ FLASat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network

All scores

TOW@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT3:30 PM EDT

TowsonTOW–

NavyNAVY0–0·AAC

TVCBSSN

StreamingParamount+

NAVY radioNavy Radio Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Navy opens a 30.5-point favorite. Our model gives Navy a 99% chance.

SeriesNavy leads 1–0 · Navy won the last meeting, 41–13 · 2008

WIN PROBABILITY

NAVY 99% TOW 1%

PROJECTED FINAL

Navy

Towson

NAVY win
99% One-score game
4% Cover NAVY −30.5
65%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge NAVY

Market lean NAVY

Model projection NAVY

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Towson @ Navy

Your sims:Sims: NAVY 0, TOW 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Towson2025: 0–1

Lat Maryland44–17

Navy

2025: 11–2 (8–1 AAC)

Wvs Cincinnati35–13 Wvs Army17–16 Wat Memphis28–17

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Navy98%
Towson3%

CFB Vibes ModelNAVY 99%MarketNAVY 98%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $16,297 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADTOW +30.5NAVY −30.5

TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5

MONEYLINETOW +4000NAVY −50000

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Towson vs Navy Stats ComparisonTowson vs Navy Stats Comparison

2025 stats

TowsonTOW		NavyNAVY
–	PPG	31.5#30
–	PA/G	25#69
–	YDS/G	416.1#33
–	PASS/G	130#133
–	RUSH/G	286.1#1
–	YDS/PLAY	6.6#18
–	3RD DOWN	51.8%#4
–	TO MARGIN	+1#66
–	OFF PPA	0.30#15
–	DEF PPA	0.21#110
–	OFF SUCCESS	49.0%#8
–	DEF SUCCESS	40.4%#54
–	RET PROD	13.8%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.24#64
–	SP+	1.2
–	FPI	-0.7#69

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

LocationAnnapolis, MD

Capacity34,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1959

Elevation35 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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