GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives St. Thomas (MN) an 82% chance.
SeriesSt. Thomas (MN) leads 5–0 since 2021 · St. Thomas (MN) won the last meeting, 55–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) STMN
Home-field edge VAL
Model projection STMN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
St. Thomas (MN) @ Valparaiso
Your sims:Sims: VAL 0, STMN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
St. Thomas (MN) vs Valparaiso Stats ComparisonSTMN vs Valparaiso Stats Comparison
| St. Thomas (MN)STMN | ValparaisoVAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9 | PPG | 27 |
| 27.1 | PA/G | 21.6 |
| 441 | YDS/G | 264.8 |
| 240 | PASS/G | 186.2 |
| 201 | RUSH/G | 78.5 |
| 6.8 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 46.5% | 3RD DOWN | 34.3% |
| +4 | TO MARGIN | +5 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.01 |
| 46.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.6% |
| 41.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 40.0% |
| 1.33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
| 0.02 | DEF PPA | -0.02 |
| -28.9 | SRS | -47.6 |
THE VENUE
Brown FieldLocationValparaiso, IN
Capacity5,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1919
Elevation803 ft
FAN NEWS
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