St. Thomas (MN) @ Valparaiso, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
STMN radioTommie Radio / 1500 ESPN
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives St. Thomas (MN) a 79% chance.
SeriesSt. Thomas (MN) leads 5–0 · St. Thomas (MN) won the last meeting, 55–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) STMN
Home-field edge VAL
Model projection STMN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
St. Thomas (MN) @ Valparaiso
Your sims:Sims: STMN 0, VAL 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
St. Thomas (MN) vs Valparaiso Stats ComparisonSTMN vs Valparaiso Stats Comparison
2026 stats| St. Thomas (MN)STMN | ValparaisoVAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | PPG | – |
| 35.5 | PA/G | – |
| 307.5 | YDS/G | – |
| 202.5 | PASS/G | – |
| 105 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.3 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 39.3% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.02 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | – |
| 37.2% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 51.1% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 1.24 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Brown FieldLocationValparaiso, IN
Capacity5,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1919
Elevation803 ft
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