Stanford @ Duke, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StanfordSTAN1–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Stanford a 24% chance.
SeriesStanford leads 3–1 · Stanford won the last meeting, 50–13 · 2012
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) DUKE
Home-field edge DUKE
Model projection DUKE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stanford @ Duke
Your sims:Sims: STAN 0, DUKE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stanford
Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs Hawai'i37–27Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stanford vs Duke Stats ComparisonStanford vs Duke Stats Comparison
2025 stats| StanfordSTAN | DukeDUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8#122 | PPG | 34.6#16 |
| 29.2#96 | PA/G | 29.4#98 |
| 307.5#123 | YDS/G | 423.6#25 |
| 222#72 | PASS/G | 285.4#11 |
| 85.5#132 | RUSH/G | 138.2#88 |
| 4.7#128 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 37.7%#90 | 3RD DOWN | 39.0%#77 |
| 0.06#119 | OFF PPA | 0.24#24 |
| 0.18#85 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 36.5%#123 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.5%#96 |
| 21.3% | RET PROD | 17.1% |
| 1.22#83 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#26 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | 5.6 |
| -3.3#80 | FPI | 3.5#52 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Wallace Wade StadiumLocationDurham, NC
Capacity40,004
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation338 ft
FAN NEWS
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