Miami @ Stanford, Week 1 · 2026
#7
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@GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StanfordSTAN1–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Stanford opens a 24.5-point underdog. Our model gives Stanford a 6% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 1–0 · Miami won the last meeting, 42–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) MIA
Home-field edge STAN
Market lean MIA
Model projection MIA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Miami @ Stanford
Your sims:Sims: STAN 0, MIA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stanford
Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs Hawai'i37–27Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSTAN +24.5MIA −24.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINESTAN +1500MIA −3600
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Stanford vs Miami Stats ComparisonStanford vs Miami Stats Comparison
2025 stats| StanfordSTAN | MiamiMIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8#122 | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| 29.2#96 | PA/G | 14.8#5 |
| 307.5#123 | YDS/G | 404.9#48 |
| 222#72 | PASS/G | 253.2#41 |
| 85.5#132 | RUSH/G | 151.8#77 |
| 4.7#128 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 37.7%#90 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| 0.06#119 | OFF PPA | 0.22#32 |
| 0.18#85 | DEF PPA | 0.03#12 |
| 36.5%#123 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#20 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.9%#13 |
| 21.3% | RET PROD | 36.9% |
| 1.22#83 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#120 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | 22.0 |
| -3.3#80 | FPI | 21.8#7 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Stanford StadiumLocationStanford, CA
Capacity50,424
SurfaceGrass
Opened2006
Elevation60 ft
FAN NEWS
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