Stephen F. Austin at UT Rio Grande Valley: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

GAME DAY

Week 11 · Sat, Nov 14 · 5:00 PM CST5:00 PM CST

Stephen F. AustinSFA–

UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV–

StreamingESPN+

SFA radioSFA Lumberjack Radio Network

RGV radioVaqueros Sports Network / Radio United

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Terms & eligibility

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Stephen F. Austin a 79% chance.

SeriesStephen F. Austin leads 1–0 since 2025 · Stephen F. Austin won the last meeting, 41–17 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY

SFA 79% RGV 21%

PROJECTED FINAL

Stephen F. Austin

UT Rio Grande Valley

RGV win
21% One-score game
30%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) SFA

Home-field edge RGV

Model projection SFA

Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley

Your sims:Sims: RGV 0, SFA 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Stephen F. Austin

2026: 8–0

Wvs SE Louisiana45–24 Wat Nicholls56–0 Wvs Incarnate Word28–26

UT Rio Grande Valley

2026: 4–4

Wat Central Arkansas30–27 (OT)Lat Incarnate Word41–16 Wvs SE Louisiana13–3

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Stephen F. Austin vs UT Rio Grande Valley Stats ComparisonSFA vs RGV Stats Comparison

Stephen F. AustinSFA		UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV
41.4	PPG	23.9
14.4	PA/G	22.1
483.5	YDS/G	404.5
256.6	PASS/G	254.9
226.9	RUSH/G	149.6
7.2	YDS/PLAY	5.6
44.9%	3RD DOWN	41.7%
0.32	OFF PPA	0.04
47.7%	OFF SUCCESS	40.8%
34.5%	DEF SUCCESS	44.5%
1.34	EXPLOSIVE	1.25
+3	TO MARGIN	−1
-0.09	DEF PPA	0.06
-10.3	SRS	-27.8

THE VENUE

Robert and Janet Vackar Stadium

LocationEdinburg, TX

Capacity13,498

SurfaceTurf

Opened2017

Elevation98 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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