GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Stephen F. Austin a 54% chance.
SeriesStephen F. Austin leads 1–0 · Stephen F. Austin won the last meeting, 41–17 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
RGV win
46% One-score game
38%
46% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SFA
Home-field edge RGV
Model projection SFA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley
Your sims:Sims: RGV 0, SFA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stephen F. Austin vs UT Rio Grande Valley Stats ComparisonSFA vs RGV Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Stephen F. AustinSFA | UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | PPG | 30 |
| 17 | PA/G | 22.5 |
| 436.5 | YDS/G | 551.5 |
| 240 | PASS/G | 324.5 |
| 196.5 | RUSH/G | 227 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9 |
| 44.8% | 3RD DOWN | 42.4% |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| 0.16 | DEF PPA | 0.17 |
| 44.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6% |
| 39.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 47.2% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Robert and Janet Vackar StadiumLocationEdinburg, TX
Capacity13,498
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation98 ft
FAN NEWS
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