Tarleton State @ McNeese, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
MCN radioMcNeese Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives McNeese a 24% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Tarleton State won the last meeting, 26–23 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge MCN
Model projection TAR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tarleton State @ McNeese
Your sims:Sims: MCN 0, TAR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
McNeese vs Tarleton State Stats ComparisonMcNeese vs TAR Stats Comparison
2026 stats| McNeeseMCN | Tarleton StateTAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | PPG | 34.5 |
| 19 | PA/G | 21.5 |
| 453.5 | YDS/G | 484.5 |
| 244 | PASS/G | 240 |
| 209.5 | RUSH/G | 244.5 |
| 6.9 | YDS/PLAY | 7.9 |
| 48.0% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.33 | OFF PPA | 0.27 |
| 0.03 | DEF PPA | 0.18 |
| 43.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 49.6% |
| 34.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.7% |
| 1.69 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Cowboy StadiumLocationLake Charles, LA
Capacity17,610
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation14 ft
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