Tarleton State @ West Florida, Week 11 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 11 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives West Florida a 57% chance.

SeriesNo meetings since 2003

WIN PROBABILITY
WFL 57% TAR 43%
PROJECTED FINAL
WFL win
57%
One-score game
38%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge WFL
Model projection WFL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tarleton State @ West Florida

Your sims:Sims: WFL 0, TAR 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Tarleton State vs West Florida Stats ComparisonTAR vs West Florida Stats Comparison

Tarleton StateTARWest FloridaWFL
41.9PPG22.3
22.6PA/G19.7
506.4YDS/G300.3
44.9%3RD DOWN33.8%

THE VENUE

Pen-Air Field
LocationPensacola, FL
Capacity4,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2016
Elevation59 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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CFB VIBES MODELARIZ 51% to win
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67Games in Week 11Full schedule →