GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge WFL
Model projection WFL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tarleton State @ West Florida
Your sims:Sims: WFL 0, TAR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Tarleton State
Tarleton State2026: 8–0
Wat West Georgia49–6Wvs Central Arkansas49–35Wat Austin Peay40–32
West Florida
West Florida2026: 4–3–1
Lat Eastern Kentucky16–13Wvs West Alabama37–3Tvs Northeastern State0–0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tarleton State vs West Florida Stats ComparisonTAR vs West Florida Stats Comparison
| Tarleton StateTAR | West FloridaWFL | |
|---|---|---|
| 41.9 | PPG | 22.3 |
| 22.6 | PA/G | 19.7 |
| 506.4 | YDS/G | 300.3 |
| 297.4 | PASS/G | 152.6 |
| 209 | RUSH/G | 147.7 |
| 8 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 44.9% | 3RD DOWN | 33.8% |
| +11 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.37 | OFF PPA | 0.00 |
| 50.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.8% |
| 40.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.4% |
| 1.38 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24 |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | -0.07 |
| -16.3 | SRS | -17.1 |
THE VENUE
Pen-Air FieldLocationPensacola, FL
Capacity4,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2016
Elevation59 ft
FAN NEWS
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