Temple @ Toledo, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Temple a 40% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 7–3 · Toledo won the last meeting, 32–17 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) EVEN
Home-field edge TOL
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Temple @ Toledo
Your sims:Sims: TEM 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Temple vs Toledo Stats ComparisonTemple vs Toledo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TempleTEM | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8#66 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 29.7#100 | PA/G | 13.3#4 |
| 345.2#100 | YDS/G | 415.8#34 |
| 197.5#98 | PASS/G | 238.1#57 |
| 147.8#79 | RUSH/G | 177.7#41 |
| 5.6#74 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 37.6%#91 | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#64 |
| +11#8 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.18#56 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 42.8%#63 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6%#43 |
| 45.0%#121 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#4 |
| 37.0% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.20#102 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| 0.26#125 | DEF PPA | -0.08#1 |
| -9.1 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -8.6#102 | FPI | -3.0#79 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Glass BowlLocationToledo, OH
Capacity26,038
SurfaceTurf
Opened1937
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
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