GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Gardner-Webb a 80% chance.
SeriesTennessee State leads 2–1 · Gardner-Webb won the last meeting, 30–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) GWEB
Home-field edge GWEB
Model projection GWEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tennessee State @ Gardner-Webb
Your sims:Sims: GWEB 0, TNST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tennessee State vs Gardner-Webb Stats ComparisonTNST vs Gardner-Webb Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Tennessee StateTNST | Gardner-WebbGWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | PPG | 15 |
| 44.5 | PA/G | 26 |
| 231.5 | YDS/G | 391 |
| 182 | PASS/G | 345 |
| 49.5 | RUSH/G | 46 |
| 3.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 34.5% |
| 0.06 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.51 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 37.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6% |
| 56.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.0% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.12 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ernest W. Spangler StadiumLocationBoiling Springs, NC
Capacity9,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation831 ft
FAN NEWS
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