GAME DAY
Week 12 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Gardner-Webb a 97% chance.
SeriesTennessee State leads 2–1 since 2023 · Gardner-Webb won the last meeting, 30–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) GWEB
Home-field edge GWEB
Model projection GWEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tennessee State @ Gardner-Webb
Your sims:Sims: GWEB 0, TNST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Tennessee State
Lvs Charleston Southern20–7Wvs Morgan State25–16Lvs UT Martin42–28
Gardner-Webb
Lat UT Martin17–6Lvs Eastern Illinois21–7Wat Charleston Southern12–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tennessee State vs Gardner-Webb Stats ComparisonTNST vs Gardner-Webb Stats Comparison
| Tennessee StateTNST | Gardner-WebbGWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | PPG | 19.6 |
| 31.4 | PA/G | 22.5 |
| 289.9 | YDS/G | 336.2 |
| 228.8 | PASS/G | 242 |
| 61.1 | RUSH/G | 94.2 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8 |
| 39.8% | 3RD DOWN | 31.7% |
| 35.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.4% |
| 42.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.7% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −8 |
| -0.02 | OFF PPA | -0.07 |
| 0.16 | DEF PPA | -0.08 |
| -42.6 | SRS | -15.3 |
THE VENUE
Ernest W. Spangler StadiumLocationBoiling Springs, NC
Capacity9,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation831 ft
FAN NEWS
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