Texas Southern @ UTEP, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingMW+
TXSO radioTiger Sports Network / KTSU
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas Southern opens a 25.5-point underdog. Our model gives Texas Southern a 2% chance.
SeriesUTEP leads 3–0 · UTEP won the last meeting, 52–12 · 2007
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
TXSO win
2% One-score game
6% Cover UTEP −25.5
68%
2% One-score game
6% Cover UTEP −25.5
68%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge UTEP
Market lean UTEP
Model projection UTEP
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Texas Southern @ UTEP
Your sims:Sims: TXSO 0, UTEP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UTEP
Lat Oklahoma51–0
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelUTEP 98%MarketUTEP 97%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $10,272 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTXSO +25.5UTEP −25.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINETXSO +2000UTEP −6500
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Texas Southern vs UTEP Stats ComparisonTXSO vs UTEP Stats Comparison
| Texas SouthernTXSO | UTEPUTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | PA/G | 51 |
| 390 | YDS/G | 198 |
| 143.5 | PASS/G | 86 |
| 246.5 | RUSH/G | 112 |
| 5.9 | YDS/PLAY | 3.5 |
| 42.9% | 3RD DOWN | 15.4% |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| 39.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.9% |
| 43.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 55.0% |
| 1.28 | EXPLOSIVE | 0.94 |
| 28 | PPG | 0 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| 0.15 | OFF PPA | -0.25 |
| – | RET PROD | -1.1% |
| – | ELO | 1163 |
| – | SP+ | -24.3 |
| – | FPI | -19.1#136 |
THE VENUE
Sun BowlLocationEl Paso, TX
Capacity51,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation3,884 ft
FAN NEWS
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