The Citadel @ South Carolina State, Week 5 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·SCST radioBulldog Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Carolina State a 65% chance.
SeriesSouth Carolina State leads 2–0 · South Carolina State won the last meeting, 23–20 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SCST win
65% One-score game
34%
65% One-score game
34%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SCST
Home-field edge SCST
Model projection SCST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
The Citadel @ South Carolina St
Your sims:Sims: SCST 0, CIT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Carolina State vs The Citadel Stats ComparisonSCST vs The Citadel Stats Comparison
2026 stats| South Carolina StateSCST | The CitadelCIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | PPG | 28.5 |
| 6.5 | PA/G | 41.5 |
| 553 | YDS/G | 375.5 |
| 195.5 | PASS/G | 128 |
| 357.5 | RUSH/G | 247.5 |
| 8.6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 48.1% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.34 | OFF PPA | 0.18 |
| 56.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 48.2% |
| 18.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 49.6% |
| 1.19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.09 |
| -0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Oliver C. Dawson StadiumLocationOrangeburg, SC
Capacity22,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1955
Elevation221 ft
FAN NEWS
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