Towson @ South Carolina, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
South Carolina opens a 43.5-point favorite. Our model gives South Carolina a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SC win
99% One-score game
4% Cover SC −43.5
33%
99% One-score game
4% Cover SC −43.5
33%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge SC
Market lean SC
Model projection SC
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Towson @ South Carolina
Your sims:Sims: SC 0, TOW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Towson
Lat Navy42–15
South Carolina
Wvs Kent State57–0
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelSC 99%MarketSC 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $38,959 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTOW +43.5SC −43.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Towson vs South Carolina Stats ComparisonTowson vs SC Stats Comparison
| TowsonTOW | South CarolinaSC | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | PPG | 57 |
| 312.5 | YDS/G | 645 |
| 237 | PASS/G | 367 |
| 75.5 | RUSH/G | 278 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 9 |
| 30.0% | 3RD DOWN | 87.5% |
| 0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.68 |
| 35.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 68.9% |
| 50.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 26.5% |
| 1.46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21 |
| 31.5 | PA/G | 0 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.27 | DEF PPA | -0.04 |
| – | RET PROD | 69.0% |
| – | ELO | 1742 |
| – | SP+ | 16.7 |
| – | FPI | 15.8#15 |
THE VENUE
Williams-Brice StadiumLocationColumbia, SC
Capacity80,250
SurfaceGrass
Opened1934
Elevation199 ft
FAN NEWS
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