UNLV @ Air Force, Week 7 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Air Force a 44% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 18–8 · UNLV won the last meeting, 51–48 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge AF
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UNLV @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, UNLV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Air Force vs UNLV Stats ComparisonAir Force vs UNLV Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Air ForceAF | UNLVUNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8#48 | PPG | 34.1#17 |
| 30.3#109 | PA/G | 28#89 |
| 406.7#46 | YDS/G | 446.8#21 |
| 145.2#128 | PASS/G | 250.9#42 |
| 261.5#3 | RUSH/G | 195.9#23 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 51.0%#7 | 3RD DOWN | 45.2%#28 |
| 0.29#20 | OFF PPA | 0.30#17 |
| 0.40#136 | DEF PPA | 0.21#111 |
| 47.6%#14 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.6%#23 |
| 49.4%#134 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.1%#104 |
| 57.4% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#14 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| -3.2 | SP+ | 3.6 |
| -6.8#93 | FPI | 1.8#58 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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