Duquesne @ Air Force, Week 1 · 2026
DUQ@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·DuquesneDUQ–
Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
StreamingMW+
AF radioFalcon Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Air Force opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Air Force a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Duquesne
12
AF win
99% One-score game
4% Cover AF −28.5
70%
99% One-score game
4% Cover AF −28.5
70%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge AF
Market lean AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Duquesne @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, DUQ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Air Force98%- Duquesne3%
CFB Vibes ModelAF 99%MarketAF 98%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $17,194 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADAF −28.5DUQ +28.5
TOTALOver 58.5Under 58.5
MONEYLINEAF −50000DUQ +4000
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Air Force vs Duquesne Stats ComparisonAir Force vs Duquesne Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Air ForceAF | DuquesneDUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8#48 | PPG | – |
| 30.3#109 | PA/G | – |
| 406.7#46 | YDS/G | – |
| 145.2#128 | PASS/G | – |
| 261.5#3 | RUSH/G | – |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 51.0%#7 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.29#20 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.40#136 | DEF PPA | – |
| 47.6%#14 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 49.4%#134 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 57.4% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -3.2 | SP+ | – |
| -6.8#93 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
